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45 pages 1 hour read

Jennifer E. Smith

The Statistical Probability of Love at First Sight

Fiction | Novel | YA | Published in 2012

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Chapters 15-18Chapter Summaries & Analyses

Chapter 15 Summary

Hadley pours her heart out to her dad. He seems genuinely concerned and behaves as though he has nowhere else to be, even though it is his wedding day. She feels silly for going to see Oliver and for trying to help him, but her dad reassures her that love defies logic and sense. Hadley tells him that her mom said the same thing, and when he calls Kate a smart lady, Hadley asks why he left the family. He looks defeated and simply says, “I fell in love” (195). Hadley considers Oliver’s comment that her dad had the courage to leave a marriage when he needed to. Hadley wonders if it would have been better if he had come home as planned and left Charlotte behind. She decides that it is impossible to know what might have been, but she does know that her dad is happy now, just as her mom is happy with Harrison. She tells him that she is happy for him, and he asks her to visit him and Charlotte in Oxford.

Violet knocks to give Hadley and Andrew a 30-minute warning. The bridesmaids descend upon Hadley once again, fixing her face and hair. Violet can tell that this time, Hadley is not upset about her dad but, rather, about a boy. Once Hadley is ready, Charlotte expresses her excitement about Hadley’s potential visit to their home and shows Hadley pictures of the house. Hadley sees that Andrew’s home office in Oxford features large photos of the backyard of their house in Connecticut.

Chapter 16 Summary

Hadley marvels at the beauty of the reception hall and reassures Violet that she is feeling better about the wedding. Everyone turns as Andrew and Charlotte enter the room and take to the dance floor. They are completely “unselfconscious” and almost “incandescent” under the lights. When it is Hadley’s turn to dance with her dad, she asks him about the baby. He seems confused, and she mentions that she overheard Charlotte mention it. She promises that she doesn’t mind and tells him that she doesn’t want to “miss out” on his life anymore. Andrew is grateful and happy, but he tells Hadley that there is no baby, at least not yet, though he and Charlotte do want to have a child. Hadley promises to help when the baby comes, and she realizes that although there have been many changes, the important things remain the same.

Chapter 17 Summary

Everyone has had a wonderful time at the reception. Now, Hadley steps outside to call her mom. She is utterly exhausted, but she finally reaches Kate. Her mom apologizes for making her go to London, but Hadley assures her that it has been a good trip. Hadley briefly tells her about Oliver, promising more details when she gets home. Harrison is taking Kate to a baseball game tonight, and Kate says that he’s really excited about it. Hadley is sure that he is planning to propose again, up on the big screen, and she tells Kate that she ought to accept this time. Hadley’s phone’s battery dies, and she looks out into the night. When she sees Oliver approaching, her composure disappears.

Chapter 18 Summary

Oliver sits next to Hadley and hands her the book that she left behind. They both apologize, and this interaction feels more comfortable than the previous one. Hadley wishes that Oliver had had more time with his dad. She thinks that they both needed a little more time to understand each other. Now, Oliver asks her to dance. Holding each other, they kiss, and this kiss feels different from the other two. Heading inside to the dance floor, Hadley asks Oliver what he’s really studying, and he tells her that he’s studying the statistical probably of love at first sight. He says that people who meet in airports are 72% more likely to fall in love than people who meet somewhere else, though Hadley doesn’t believe him. Then, he tells her that people who meet three different times within a period of 24 hours are 98% more likely to meet again. She doesn’t believe this either, but she hopes that he is right.

Chapters 15-18 Analysis

This final group of chapters explores Andrew’s and Kate’s view on The Unpredictability of Life and Love. This idea is further reinforced when Hadley laments having sought Oliver out at his father’s funeral, for her dad reassures her, “Love isn’t supposed to make sense. It’s completely illogical” (194). As Hadley finally opens up to her father, it become clear that both he and Kate have taken a healthy and pragmatic view of their unexpected divorce, for they still claim to love each other even now, although the feeling has shifted from what it used to be. The sudden and illogical nature of Andrew’s unexpected love for Charlotte also stands as objective evidence that his daughter is now experiencing a similar phenomenon, and this implicit connection allows Hadley to let go of her resentment and gain a deeper understanding of his perspective. Additionally, the fact that his new home features prominent pictures of his Connecticut backyard suggests that he was happy in his first marriage and could never have predicted what would happen when he went abroad.

The Inevitability of Fate is further emphasized when Hadley herself admits, “There are so many ways it could all have turned out differently” (227). Similarly, an intricate cascade of coincidences has to align in order for Hadley and Oliver to meet, and then to find each other twice more before the day is through. In addition to these external events, Hadley must also learn to trust her intuition in a strange city and move beyond her mother’s help to chart her own course through life; likewise, Oliver learns to be honest with himself and others despite his discomfort with such an open, candid approach. Thus, each character provides vital assistance to the other at just the right time, and this dynamic suggests that their meeting was always destined to occur.

The novel’s main conflict is revealed to be the internal conflict that Hadley experiences regarding her father’s second marriage. While she initially holds great anger towards Andrew, her father is not the antagonist of the story. It is only when Hadley learns to see her parents as people who are prone to The Unpredictability of Life and Love that she can finally begin to accept The Inevitability of Fate. As a result, she is better able to deal with the painful changes in her life. Thus, the true change that occurs in the novel is within the protagonist herself, for Hadley begins to revise her perceptions of the people in her life and accepts that the world will always serve up unexpected challenges and changes.

Finally, Hadley’s growth as a character is confirmed when she encourages her mom to marry Harrison. At this point in the novel, she has learned to think of her parents as people rather than as parents. Her broadening worldview allows her to recognize that Kate and Andrew have personal lives that go beyond their relationship to her, and as she gains new maturity, she prioritizes their happiness over her own aversion to change. The significance of this inner shift is illustrated when Hadley “gives herself over” (223) to laughter at the thought of Harrison proposing on the big screen at a baseball game, and she acknowledges that “[i]t feels wonderful, this letting go” (223). Having learned how unpredictable life and love can be, Hadley assures her mom that saying yes is simple, because Kate and Harrison are in love. She can acknowledge that her parents are just as susceptible to life’s unpredictability as she is, and this allows her to “let go” and accept changes in her life more gracefully and readily.

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